Challenging time for property market in 2009
Thursday, December 18th, 2008The property market in Malaysia is in for a correction soon due to the global economic slowdown. Slower economy will cool down the demand as consumer confidencel level is low, with many buyers continue to adopt a wait-and-see stance. Generally, property prices is expected to fall by 5-10 percent from the first quarter of next year.
It may not be a rosy outlook but Malaysia’s real estate is resilient enough to withstand the onslaught of the economic turmoil. A housing bubble is unlikely although the market will be depressed by a slew of bearish factors like poor economic data and worries over increasing credit market losses in the US.
In addition, Malaysia’s property prices will not fall as drastically as the prices of properties in Hong Kong, Singapore and Thailand next year as the three countries are more exposed to the US-led subprime crises. During the boom period, property prices in the latter three countries’ had risen tremendously over a short period while Malaysia’s only had a gradual appreciation. There is still room to grow in Malaysia so we will definitely fare better.
The prices of certain secondary residential properties could face more pressure next year due to a lack of demand and an increase in supply of completed projects. The situation for high-end condominiums in the KLCC and Mont Kiara areas are getting critical. There would be more pressure on the rental and capital values as many of the projects in the vicinity would be completed within the next one or two years. Supply will be mounting on a monthly basis and this will eventually translate into lower capital values and rental. An easy 15% to 20% shed in values are envisaged for this sector.
The asking prices for middle-class residential properties in general, for example terrace houses in good locations such as Sri Hartamas, Bandar Utama and even Taman Tun Dr Ismail, have already been adjusted 5% to 10% lower to reflect current market conditions. Prices of high density condominiums with a low occupancy rate in not-so-nice locations are about 10% lower now compared to a year ago. Although prices have softened, it might still prove to be difficult to spur demand for such properties.
In the retail sector, there could be an oversupply as there will be additional shopping centres to be completed next year. If the economy continues to deteriorate, the hotel sector will also be affected from fewer foreign travellers. The domestic property prices would further moderate next year and were likely to recover in three years.
In short, domestic prices will unlikely to drop drastically as profit margins of developers are already low and Malaysia had only experienced a gradual appreciation previously. There will be fewer launches due to poor demand. So with the soft property market, it is even more important for developers to produce innovative and quality products.









